As any seasoned Nascar bettor will tell you, restrictor-plate racing puts the "crap" in crapshoot. We'll pass on the typical lecture detailing how NASCAR regulations make the cars relatively equal to one another and pack-racing makes the event one for a survival of the fittest. Our best advice to all is to play smaller than small, and enjoy this one more as a fan.
Noticeable in the Bud Shootout and qualifiers is that the new rules package creates a hybrid between the two-car tandem of the last year and half and the mutli-car packs that dominated plate racing in the years prior. The drivers who excelled at multi-car pack drafting historically did very well in these races. But more importantly, because of the ability to engage in two-car tandems still, drivers that showed plenty of speed individually in qualifying and single-car runs is a bonus. Below is Nascar Mogul's top five for today:
1. Matt Kenseth
2. Tony Stewart
3. Jeff Gordon
4. Carl Edwards
5. Greg Biffle
Our best bet of the day is a manufacturer play:
Ford to win +385 (5Dimes)
We like the value in this. Not only are the Ford engines incredibly fast, but they have exhibited a cooling edge over their peers in the the past two weeks. Overheating and engine wear will be a significant factor in today's race, since NASCAR has raised the pressure to 28psi from 25psi on the mandated radiator pop-off valve each team is required to use. This change has allowed teams to run 10 degrees warmer from earlier in the week. Crew chiefs and engine tuners for the Toyota's have noticed their machines are quite sensitive to this increase and are losing power on longer runs. Chevy engines run better when hotter. We give the edge to Fords because of their individual speed, and believe if a long shot wins the Great American Race, the driver will pilot a car from the historic manufacturer.
Showing posts with label Daytona 500. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Daytona 500. Show all posts
Sunday, February 26, 2012
Sunday, February 12, 2012
Daytona 500 Early Betting Odds
Dale Earnhardt Jr +1225
Kyle Busch +1275
Tony Stewart +1275
Jimmie Johnson +1275
Kasey Kahne +1275
Carl Edwards +1275
Jeff Gordon +1275
Clint Bowyer +1875
Kurt Busch +1875
Matt Kanseth +1900
Denny Hamlin +2000
Jeff Burton +2100
Brad Keselowski +2100
Jamie McMurray +2500
Joey Logano +2600
Greg Biffle +2600
Juan Pablo Montoya +3200
Ryan Newman +3200
Paul Menard +3200
David Ragan +3200
Mark Martin +3200
Martin Truex Jr +3200
AJ Allmendinger +3200
Market from 5Dimes
Can Danica Patrick Win the 2012 Daytona 500?
Every where I turn I see or hear another person asking this question: Can Danica Patrick win the Daytona 500?
I don't know. I don't think so. But this article from Sports Illustrated is a representative example of the sort of stories I keep reading.
And I bet we see a lot more like it before the green flag falls. ;)
Can she do it?
This is the question that I've been asked the most in recent weeks, both in conversations with NASCAR fans and on radio shows: Can Danica Patrick actually win the Daytona 500?
My answer: Absolutely. In fact, I think her best shot at taking a checkered flag in her 10 Cup races this year will be in the season opener at Daytona. There are four reasons.
I don't know. I don't think so. But this article from Sports Illustrated is a representative example of the sort of stories I keep reading.
And I bet we see a lot more like it before the green flag falls. ;)
Can she do it?
This is the question that I've been asked the most in recent weeks, both in conversations with NASCAR fans and on radio shows: Can Danica Patrick actually win the Daytona 500?
My answer: Absolutely. In fact, I think her best shot at taking a checkered flag in her 10 Cup races this year will be in the season opener at Daytona. There are four reasons.
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